Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Medford → Phoenix via San Francisco: arrives on time 36%

  1. 18:35 MFR → 20:07 SFO
    UA 5883 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 32m · 53% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 14m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:21 SFO → 23:30 PHX
    UA 233 · United · 2h 09m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 29 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 14m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip4h 55mMFR 18:35 to PHX 23:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.