tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Medford → Los Angeles via San Francisco: arrives on time 28%

  1. 18:35 MFR → 20:07 SFO
    UA 5883 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 32m · 53% on time, 1.8% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:55 SFO → 22:37 LAX
    UA 2850 · United · 1h 42m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection44%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 56% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (1.8% are) × connection made (44%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip4h 02mMFR 18:35 to LAX 22:37, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.