Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Rapid City → Phoenix via Denver: arrives on time 54%
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09:00 RAP → 10:35 DENUA 5884 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 35m · 74% on time, 0.6% cancelled
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50m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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11:25 DEN → 12:25 PHXUA 1686 · United · 2h 00m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled
Total trip 4h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 1 h behind Rapid City). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection63%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 37% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (63%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip4h 25mRAP 09:00 to PHX 12:25, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.