tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Rapid City → Phoenix via Denver: arrives on time 64%

  1. 09:00 RAP → 10:35 DEN
    UA 5884 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 35m · 74% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 45m layover in Denver (DEN) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 14:20 DEN → 15:20 PHX
    WN 1681 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 1 h behind Rapid City). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 135 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 45m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip7h 15mRAP 09:00 to PHX 15:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.