tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Madison → Detroit via Chicago: arrives on time 82%

  1. 06:41 MSN → 07:54 ORD
    UA 5902 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 13m · 89% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 06m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:00 ORD → 12:32 DTW
    AA 3498 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 34m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 1 h ahead of Madison). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 36 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 06m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip4h 53mMSN 06:41 to DTW 12:32, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.