tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Madison → Newark via Chicago: arrives on time 74%

  1. 06:41 MSN → 07:54 ORD
    UA 5902 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 13m · 89% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 57m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:51 ORD → 14:17 EWR
    UA 1856 · United · 2h 26m · 80% on time, 4.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 1 h ahead of Madison). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 132 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 57m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (4.3% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip6h 36mMSN 06:41 to EWR 14:17, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.