tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Madison → Washington via Chicago: arrives on time 78%

  1. 06:41 MSN → 07:54 ORD
    UA 5902 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 13m · 89% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 51m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:45 ORD → 13:59 DCA
    AA 4809 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 14m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Madison). Times are local. Both flew on 25 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 81 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 51m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip6h 18mMSN 06:41 to DCA 13:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.