tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Houston via Chicago: arrives on time 68%

  1. 17:50 SDF → 18:40 ORD
    UA 5929 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 50m · 59% on time, 8.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 00m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:40 ORD → 00:34 IAH +1 day
    UA 2665 · United · 2h 54m · 76% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Louisville). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 135 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 00m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (8.1% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip7h 44mSDF 17:50 to IAH 00:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.