Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Aspen → San Francisco via Los Angeles: arrives on time 32%

  1. 19:15 ASE → 20:43 LAX
    UA 5940 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 28m · 62% on time, 9.5% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:34 LAX → 23:02 SFO
    UA 2056 · United · 1h 28m · 61% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 1 h behind Aspen). Times are local. Both flew on 38 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (9.5% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip4h 47mASE 19:15 to SFO 23:02, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.