tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Rapid City → Phoenix via Denver: arrives on time 61%

  1. 16:36 RAP → 18:20 DEN
    UA 5947 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 44m · 67% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 39m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:59 DEN → 21:59 PHX
    UA 1236 · United · 2h 00m · 68% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 1 h behind Rapid City). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 114 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 39m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip6h 23mRAP 16:36 to PHX 21:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.