Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Rapid City → Chicago via Denver: arrives on time 41%

  1. 16:36 RAP → 18:20 DEN
    UA 5947 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 44m · 67% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:10 DEN → 22:49 ORD
    UA 2258 · United · 2h 39m · 71% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h ahead of Rapid City). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip5h 13mRAP 16:36 to ORD 22:49, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.