tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Aspen → Dallas-Fort Worth via Chicago: arrives on time 58%

  1. 12:39 ASE → 16:45 ORD
    UA 5956 · United, flown by SkyWest · 3h 06m · 72% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 41m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 19:26 ORD → 22:08 DFW
    AA 3544 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 42m · 73% on time, 5.7% cancelled

Total trip 8h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h ahead of Aspen). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 71 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 41m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (5.7% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip8h 29mASE 12:39 to DFW 22:08, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.