tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Aspen → Houston via Chicago: arrives on time 53%

  1. 12:39 ASE → 16:45 ORD
    UA 5956 · United, flown by SkyWest · 3h 06m · 72% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:45 ORD → 20:50 IAH
    UA 1954 · United · 3h 05m · 77% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h ahead of Aspen). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip7h 11mASE 12:39 to IAH 20:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.