tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Miami via St Louis: arrives on time 81%

  1. 07:05 ORD → 08:39 STL
    UA 5958 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 34m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 21m layover in St Louis (STL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:00 STL → 14:46 MIA
    AA 3954 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 46m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 51 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 21m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip6h 41mORD 07:05 to MIA 14:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.