Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Santa Barbara via San Francisco: arrives on time 43%

  1. 19:03 SMF → 20:10 SFO
    UA 5961 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 07m · 43% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:23 SFO → 22:45 SBA
    UA 2866 · United · 1h 22m · 76% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 3h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection58%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 42% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (58%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip3h 42mSMF 19:03 to SBA 22:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.