tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Arcata/Eureka → San Francisco via Denver: arrives on time 54%

  1. 12:30 ACV → 16:22 DEN
    UA 5966 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 52m · 78% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 36m layover in Denver (DEN) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 18:58 DEN → 20:54 SFO
    F9 1093 · Frontier · 2h 56m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 66 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 36m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip8h 24mACV 12:30 to SFO 20:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.