tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fayetteville/Springdale/ → Miami via Denver: arrives on time 53%

  1. 05:50 XNA → 06:57 DEN
    UA 5969 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 07m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 12m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:09 DEN → 16:16 MIA
    UA 1496 · United · 4h 07m · 54% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 1 h ahead of Fayetteville/Springdale/). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 147 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 12m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip9h 26mXNA 05:50 to MIA 16:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.