tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Knoxville → Newark via Chicago: arrives on time 48%

  1. 17:45 TYS → 18:55 ORD
    UA 6000 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 10m · 77% on time, 5.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 12m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:07 ORD → 23:39 EWR
    UA 759 · United · 2h 32m · 65% on time, 5.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection83%The first flight arrived more than 27 minutes late on 17% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 12m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (5.4% are) × connection made (83%) × second flight not cancelled (5.3% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip5h 54mTYS 17:45 to EWR 23:39, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.