tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Aspen → Austin via Denver: arrives on time 34%

  1. 18:12 ASE → 19:25 DEN
    UA 6011 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 13m · 65% on time, 22.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:27 DEN → 23:44 AUS
    UA 1943 · United · 2h 17m · 67% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 1 h ahead of Aspen). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (22.1% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip4h 32mASE 18:12 to AUS 23:44, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.