tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Austin via Los Angeles: arrives on time 44%

  1. 13:39 SFO → 15:19 LAX
    AA 6188 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 40m · 44% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 12m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:31 LAX → 21:44 AUS
    AA 4979 · American, flown by SkyWest · 3h 13m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 2 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection56%The first flight arrived more than 27 minutes late on 44% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 12m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (56%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip6h 05mSFO 13:39 to AUS 21:44, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.