tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → Santa Barbara via Portland: arrives on time 85%

  1. 12:31 LAX → 14:59 PDX
    AA 6189 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 28m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 49m layover in Portland (PDX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 17:48 PDX → 20:04 SBA
    AS 2029 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 2h 16m · 91% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 79 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 49m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip7h 33mLAX 12:31 to SBA 20:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.