tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Austin via Los Angeles: arrives on time 50%

  1. 15:29 PDX → 18:03 LAX
    AA 6189 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 34m · 72% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:52 LAX → 23:55 AUS
    AA 2118 · American · 3h 03m · 75% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 2 h ahead of Portland). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip6h 26mPDX 15:29 to AUS 23:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.