tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sioux Falls → Minneapolis via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 35%

  1. 12:40 FSD → 15:00 DFW
    AA 6194 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 20m · 72% on time, 3.2% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:59 DFW → 18:23 MSP
    AA 2148 · American · 2h 24m · 52% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (3.2% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip5h 43mFSD 12:40 to MSP 18:23, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.