tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Baltimore via Charlotte: arrives on time 47%

  1. 12:39 BHM → 15:22 CLT
    AA 6196 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 43m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:15 CLT → 17:46 BWI
    AA 1622 · American · 1h 31m · 64% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 1 h ahead of Birmingham). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip4h 07mBHM 12:39 to BWI 17:46, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.