tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → New York via Charlotte: arrives on time 43%

  1. 12:39 BHM → 15:22 CLT
    AA 6196 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 43m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 08m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:30 CLT → 18:29 LGA
    AA 1722 · American · 2h 03m · 54% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Birmingham). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection83%The first flight arrived more than 23 minutes late on 17% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 08m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (83%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip4h 54mBHM 12:39 to LGA 18:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.