tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Milwaukee via Chicago: arrives on time 33%

  1. 15:57 BNA → 18:05 ORD
    AA 6200 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 08m · 58% on time, 6.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 40m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 19:45 ORD → 20:56 MKE
    UA 4711 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 11m · 70% on time, 5.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 40m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (6.9% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (5.8% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip4h 59mBNA 15:57 to MKE 20:56, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.