tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Knoxville via Chicago: arrives on time 34%

  1. 15:57 BNA → 18:05 ORD
    AA 6200 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 08m · 58% on time, 6.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:09 ORD → 21:58 TYS
    AA 5001 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 49m · 67% on time, 10.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (Knoxville is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (6.9% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (10.0% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip5h 01mBNA 15:57 to TYS 21:58, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.