tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Richmond → Houston via Chicago: arrives on time 23%

  1. 18:34 RIC → 20:15 ORD
    AA 6202 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 41m · 66% on time, 14.3% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:07 ORD → 23:51 IAH
    AA 3144 · American · 2h 44m · 53% on time, 5.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Richmond). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time23%First flight not cancelled (14.3% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (5.5% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip6h 17mRIC 18:34 to IAH 23:51, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.