Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Oklahoma City → Phoenix via Chicago: arrives on time 24%

  1. 11:04 OKC → 13:32 ORD
    AA 6204 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 28m · 74% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:25 ORD → 16:09 PHX
    AA 1384 · American · 3h 44m · 34% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Oklahoma City). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time24%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (34%).
Total trip7h 05mOKC 11:04 to PHX 16:09, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.