tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Aspen → Denver via Austin: arrives on time 71%

  1. 13:46 ASE → 17:09 AUS
    AA 6205 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 23m · 58% on time, 5.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 06m layover in Austin (AUS) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 20:15 AUS → 21:49 DEN
    F9 1859 · Frontier · 2h 34m · 83% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 8h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 96 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 06m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip8h 03mASE 13:46 to DEN 21:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.