tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Knoxville → Minneapolis via Chicago: arrives on time 84%

  1. 07:02 TYS → 08:10 ORD
    AA 6216 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 08m · 88% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 37m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:47 ORD → 13:32 MSP
    AA 3375 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 45m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Knoxville). Times are local. Both flew on 25 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 172 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 37m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip7h 30mTYS 07:02 to MSP 13:32, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.