tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Aspen → Denver via Chicago: arrives on time 57%

  1. 07:25 ASE → 11:31 ORD
    AA 6225 · American, flown by SkyWest · 3h 06m · 82% on time, 4.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 44m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:15 ORD → 17:00 DEN
    AA 1734 · American · 2h 45m · 66% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 9h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 179 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 44m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (4.7% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip9h 35mASE 07:25 to DEN 17:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.