tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Aspen → Atlanta via Chicago: arrives on time 55%

  1. 07:25 ASE → 11:31 ORD
    AA 6225 · American, flown by SkyWest · 3h 06m · 82% on time, 4.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 04m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:35 ORD → 16:47 ATL
    AA 4759 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 12m · 68% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 2 h ahead of Aspen). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 79 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 04m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (4.7% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip7h 22mASE 07:25 to ATL 16:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.