Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Hebron → Raleigh/Durham via Chicago: arrives on time 30%
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19:07 CVG → 19:59 ORDAA 6230 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 52m · 61% on time, 7.0% cancelled
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57m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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20:56 ORD → 23:59 RDUAA 2167 · American · 2h 03m · 58% on time, 5.5% cancelled
Total trip 4h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (7.0% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (5.5% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip4h 52mCVG 19:07 to RDU 23:59, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.