tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kansas City → Milwaukee via Chicago: arrives on time 49%

  1. 09:12 MCI → 11:02 ORD
    AA 6250 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 51m · 76% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:59 ORD → 12:57 MKE
    AA 6261 · American, flown by SkyWest · 58m · 69% on time, 3.2% cancelled

Total trip 3h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (3.2% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip3h 45mMCI 09:12 to MKE 12:57, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.