tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Madison → Phoenix via Chicago: arrives on time 70%

  1. 09:48 MSN → 10:55 ORD
    AA 6256 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 07m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 4h 27m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:22 ORD → 17:05 PHX
    AA 2624 · American · 3h 43m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Madison). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 222 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 27m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip9h 17mMSN 09:48 to PHX 17:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.