tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Milwaukee → New York via Chicago: arrives on time 57%

  1. 09:15 MKE → 10:32 ORD
    AA 6263 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 17m · 86% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 18m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:50 ORD → 16:28 JFK
    AA 4371 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 38m · 71% on time, 11.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Milwaukee). Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 93 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 18m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (11.4% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip6h 13mMKE 09:15 to JFK 16:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.