tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Chicago via Los Angeles: arrives on time 61%

  1. 07:00 SMF → 08:41 LAX
    AA 6265 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 41m · 90% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:31 LAX → 15:59 ORD
    AA 2608 · American · 4h 29m · 76% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection83%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 17% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (83%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip7h 00mSMF 07:00 to ORD 15:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.