tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Monterey → Dallas-Fort Worth via Phoenix: arrives on time 51%

  1. 16:14 MRY → 18:14 PHX
    AA 6268 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 00m · 75% on time, 3.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 07m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:21 PHX → 00:48 DFW +1 day
    AA 2603 · American · 2h 27m · 61% on time, 10.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 2 h ahead of Monterey). Times are local. Both flew on 38 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 82 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 07m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (3.5% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (10.2% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip6h 34mMRY 16:14 to DFW 00:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.