tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Monterey → Los Angeles via Phoenix: arrives on time 63%

  1. 16:14 MRY → 18:14 PHX
    AA 6268 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 00m · 75% on time, 3.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 24m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:38 PHX → 22:07 LAX
    AA 3204 · American · 1h 29m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 99 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 24m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (3.5% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip5h 53mMRY 16:14 to LAX 22:07, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.