tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Monterey → Denver via Phoenix: arrives on time 57%

  1. 16:14 MRY → 18:14 PHX
    AA 6268 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 00m · 75% on time, 3.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 31m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:45 PHX → 00:47 DEN +1 day
    AA 3255 · American · 1h 52m · 63% on time, 4.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h ahead of Monterey). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 166 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 31m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (3.5% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (4.4% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip7h 23mMRY 16:14 to DEN 00:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.