tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Monterey → Los Angeles via Phoenix: arrives on time 67%

  1. 16:14 MRY → 18:14 PHX
    AA 6268 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 00m · 75% on time, 3.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 55m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 20:09 PHX → 21:50 LAX
    DL 4077 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 41m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection84%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 16% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 55m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (3.5% are) × connection made (84%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip5h 36mMRY 16:14 to LAX 21:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.