tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Missoula → Portland via Los Angeles: arrives on time 55%

  1. 16:44 MSO → 18:40 LAX
    AA 6270 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 56m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 17m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:57 LAX → 22:27 PDX
    AA 6424 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 30m · 69% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (Portland is 1 h behind Missoula). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection81%The first flight arrived more than 32 minutes late on 19% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 17m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (81%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip6h 43mMSO 16:44 to PDX 22:27, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.