tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Missoula → San Francisco via Los Angeles: arrives on time 81%

  1. 16:44 MSO → 18:40 LAX
    AA 6270 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 56m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 52m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:32 LAX → 23:59 SFO
    AA 6510 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 27m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 1 h behind Missoula). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 187 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 52m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip8h 15mMSO 16:44 to SFO 23:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.