tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Oklahoma City → Austin via Phoenix: arrives on time 51%

  1. 18:15 OKC → 18:42 PHX
    AA 6276 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 27m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:44 PHX → 23:57 AUS
    AA 691 · American · 2h 13m · 71% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip5h 42mOKC 18:15 to AUS 23:57, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.