tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → New York via Los Angeles: arrives on time 71%

  1. 07:00 PDX → 09:39 LAX
    AA 6290 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 39m · 85% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 21m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:00 LAX → 21:34 JFK
    AA 4 · American · 5h 34m · 76% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 11h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Portland). Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 156 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 21m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip11h 34mPDX 07:00 to JFK 21:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.