tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Kailua/Kona via Los Angeles: arrives on time 75%

  1. 07:00 PDX → 09:39 LAX
    AA 6290 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 39m · 85% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 45m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:24 LAX → 16:05 KOA
    AA 59 · American · 5h 40m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 12h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kailua/Kona is 3 h behind Portland). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 180 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 45m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip12h 04mPDX 07:00 to KOA 16:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.