tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Tucson via Los Angeles: arrives on time 62%

  1. 07:00 PDX → 09:39 LAX
    AA 6290 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 39m · 85% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:28 LAX → 12:03 TUS
    AA 6376 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 35m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip5h 03mPDX 07:00 to TUS 12:03, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.