tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Aspen → Houston via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 27%

  1. 07:36 ASE → 10:57 DFW
    AA 6345 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 21m · 71% on time, 3.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:58 DFW → 13:09 IAH
    AA 2512 · American · 1h 11m · 41% on time, 3.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h ahead of Aspen). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time27%First flight not cancelled (3.7% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (3.2% are) and within 15 minutes (41%).
Total trip4h 33mASE 07:36 to IAH 13:09, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.