tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Eugene via Phoenix: arrives on time 82%

  1. 16:13 SMF → 18:16 PHX
    AA 6354 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 03m · 75% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 24m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:40 PHX → 23:21 EUG
    AA 4028 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 37m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 99 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 24m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip7h 04mSMF 16:13 to EUG 23:21, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.